The COVID-19 pandemic will be over before July 2022 because of the speed of vaccine development and other precautionary measures.
Right now, numerous vaccines are in clinical trials around the world and according to some public experts will be available in early 2021.
Additionally, according to experts, herd immunity can occur in a couple of months because some immunity has already been built in certain cities.
If a vaccine is distributed in early 2021 and herd immunity takes some time to develop, then immunity can be achieved as early as the end of 2021, with some spillover into early 2022.
Furthermore, other measures being taken such as social distancing, remote work, and mask-wearing will help expedite the process of ending the pandemic before 2022.
The unprecedented quick pace of vaccine development and distribution will allow for herd immunity to be developed well before July 2022. Because herd immunity can be developed before July 2022, the pandemic will be over before then too.